News and Opinion Links

June 3 2010

Best Party Promises Polar Bear, Free Towels
Phil Davis, Phil’s Stock World
In the best commentary yet on the global situation, the 6 month-old "Best Party," which is headed by a comedian, won the Reykjavik elections, after campaigning with the catch slogan "Whatever Works." The Best Party promises to get a polar bear for the zoo and preaches the benefits of "anarcho-surrealism." While the Best Party’s critics implored its team of comedians, actors and musicians to end their campaign, soon to be-mayor Jon Gnarr insisted he would follow through to the end. It was the best way to expose the "ridiculous" state of traditional politics, he said. Gnarr also promised free towels, to lobby for a Disney Iceland, getting Parliament drug-free by 2020 and to cut down on the number of Santas at Christmas. Heck, sounds good to me!

Magical Thinking
John Michael Greer, Energy Bulletin
It seems very hard for many people to grasp that all the possible ways to stop the spill right away have been tried and have failed..The gap between that bitter reality and the fantasy of instant techno-fulfillment that plays so large a role in the modern mind has been filled, on most peak oil websites, with a flurry of comments proposing a dizzying assortment of impractical gimmicks to deal with the crisis. Perhaps the saddest of these is the insistence, repeated even by people who ought to know better, that the US ought to use a nuclear weapon against the well.

EXTEND & PRETEND: It's Either RICO Act or Control Fraud
Gordon T. Long, Prudent Bear
If you think this is not widespread, how do you rationalize the recent report in the Financial Times (3/2/10) that Goldman Sachs never had a trading day loss in April, yet its clients in eight out of ten cases lost money. The Financial Times reports "The trading operations of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase made money every single business day in the first quarter. Morgan Stanley reported trading profits on a mere 93% of the first quarter trading days. This defies any sort of logic in freely trading markets, unless the markets are controlled and the game fixed. These are better odds than owning a casino.

BP well disaster stuns hardened oil men
Braden Reddall, Reuters
[Apache] CEO Steve Farris, a senior executive at the company for two decades, said he does his best to remain calm and keep the gushing well in perspective. But the first thing he does when he wakes at 5 a.m. is seek out the latest news developments. "It has a psychological effect not only on America, but our industry, and you try to overcome that," Farris told the Reuters Global Energy Summit in Houston this week.

BP bused in 100s of temp workers for Obama visit, state official says
Brett Michael Dykes, Yahoo News
Perhaps you saw news footage of President Obama in Grand Isle, La., on Friday and thought things didn't look all that bad. Well, there may have been a reason for that: The town was evidently swarmed by an army of temp workers to spruce it up for the president and the national news crews following him.

Welcome Home To Slum Nation
James Howard Kunstler, kunstler.com
It's sad to be a citizen of a nation that can't do anything right. While BP was fumbling its "kill shot" into the Deepwater Horizon hole, and the dying pelicans were flopping in the poisoned marshlands, and rumors seeped across the Internet that nothing short of an atom bomb would avail to stop the underwater oil gusher -- not to mention, meanwhile, all the other problems out there, such as the ongoing melt-away of of capital in every corner of the world -- I found myself in Berlin, Germany, touring the city on a rented bicycle (after a 4,500-mil airplane ride, it is true).

Retirement and entitlement
Damien Perrotin, The View from Brittany
Last Tuesday I participated to a demonstration against the projected reform of the French retirement system. It was nearly mandatory for me to be seen there, on strike (but still paid, that one of the advantages of being a politician) and holding a party banner. Yet, all moderates present felt the whole thing was an act, a mere baroud d'honneur [last stand] before an unavoidable defeat. Even the very peak energy unaware Socialist Party recognizes, privately, that the current French retirement system cannot stand unchanged and anybody even vaguely peak oil aware will agree that retirement itself is going to become a thing of the past.

May 28 2010

BP / Gulf Oil Spill - 39 Million Gallons And Growing
John Amos, SkyTruth
The MODIS / Terra satellite image of the Gulf taken yesterday (May 24, 2010) is a relatively cloud-free look at the ongoing oil spill in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Areas covered by oil slick and sheen are marked with a solid orange line. Areas where we think there may be slicks and sheen, but our analysis is of lower confidence, are shown by dashed orange lines. All together, slicks and sheen are possibly covering as much as 28,958 square miles (75,000 km2). That's an area as big as the state of South Carolina..

The G20 moves the world a step closer to a global currency
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, Telegraph
The Russians had hoped their idea to develop SDRs as a full reserve currency to challenge the dollar would make its way on to the agenda, but at least they got a foot in the door. There is now a world currency in waiting. In time, SDRs are likely evolve into a parking place for the foreign holdings of central banks, led by the People's Bank of China. Beijing's moves this week to offer $95bn in yuan currency swaps to developing economies show how fast China aims to break dollar dependence.

Accounting for increasing energy use by the US food system
Michael Bomford, Energy Bulletin
According to this report, about half of the change is due to increased use of labor saving devices, with the remainder being split between population growth and changing food choices. Fewer people are farming, processing, cooking, and cleaning. Machines do the work for us, and consume more energy to do it..About a quarter of electricity used in US homes went to food-related services..This quantity increased as more households chose to buy second refrigerators, self-cleaning ovens, and other energy-demanding labor saving devices. Vehicle trips to the grocery store were counted..Non-essential foods - alcoholic beverages, baked goods, snack foods, and pet foods - accounted for the biggest component of the increase observed between 1997 and 2002.

NOAA's forecast: a very active, possibly hyperactive Atlantic hurricane season
Dr. Jeff Masters, Weather Underground
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued its 2010 Atlantic hurricane season forecast today. NOAA forecasts a very active and possibly hyperactive season. They give an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season, and just a 5% chance of a below-normal season. NOAA predicts a 70% chance that there will be 14 - 23 named storms, 8 - 14 hurricanes, and 3 - 7 major hurricanes, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) in the 155% - 270% of normal range. If we take the midpoint of these numbers, NOAA is calling for 18.5 named storms, 11 hurricanes, 5 major hurricanes, and an ACE index 210% of normal.

The World After Abundance
John Michael Greer, Energy Bulletin
What’s going on here is precisely what The Limits to Growth warned about in 1973: the costs of continued growth have risen faster than growth itself, and are reaching a level that is forcing the economy to its knees. By "costs," of course, the authors of The Limits to Growth weren’t talking about money, and neither am I. The costs that matter are energy, resources, and labor; it takes a great deal more of all of these to extract oil from deepwater wells in the Gulf of Mexico or oil sands in Alberta, say, than it used to take to get it from Pennsylvania or Texas, and since offshore drilling and oil sands make up an increasingly large share of what we’ve got left - those wells in Pennsylvania and Texas have been pumped dry, or nearly so - these real, nonmonetary costs have climbed steadily.

Blue Bayou
Olga Bonfiglio, Energy Bulletin
The threat to the bayou didn’t happen last month with the explosion of the Deepwater Horizon rig...Saltwater intrusion and erosion threaten to destroy 60 percent of the bayou by 2040, said Richard Campanella, associate director of the Center for Bioenvironmental Research at Tulane University. He spoke recently at the American Planning Association (APA) conference in New Orleans. The reason this is happening is due in part to the activities of the oil and gas industry. This oil spill will surely speed up the process.

Gaza aid flotilla to set sail for confrontation with Israel
Harriet Sherwood, The Guardian
On board the ships are 10,000 tonnes of cargo and about 700-800 activists and politicians from more than 40 countries. The cargo includes building materials, medical supplies and paper for schools. One boat is carrying a complete dental surgery including drills. Crayons and chocolate are also on board for Gazan children. The cargo has been paid for by donations. "We're trying to break the blockade of the Gaza Strip and tell the world that Israel has no right to starve 1.5 million Palestinians," said Greta Berlin, of the Free Gaza Movement

More Than Just an Oil Spill
Bob Herbert, NY Times
This is the bitter reality of the American present, a period in which big business has cemented an unholy alliance with big government against the interests of ordinary Americans, who, of course, are the great majority of Americans. The great majority of Americans no longer matter. No one knows how much of BP’s runaway oil will contaminate the gulf coast’s marshes and lakes and bayous and canals, destroying wildlife and fauna..It permeates and undermines the ecosystem in much the same way that big corporations have permeated and undermined our political system, with similarly devastating results.

Food in the Land of Peak Oil
Jill Richardson, The Seminal
Believe it or not, Cuba’s perhaps the world’s leading model of the agricultural system of the future. When the USSR fell, Cuba entered what they call the "Special Period." But it wasn’t special in a good way. Between 1990-1994, Cubans lost a lot of weight and babies born in those years still show signs of malnourishment. Because they couldn’t import grain, many farm animals died. But now, 20 years later, Cuba’s figured it out. The government promotes local, sustainable agriculture and - even though they haven’t achieved it yet - calls for food sovereignty..They don’t want to depend on food imported from elsewhere that, should a disaster strike, might become unavailable.

May 21 2010

Oil continues impacting Louisiana coast; storms for Caribbean and SE U.S. waters?
Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog, Weather Underground
Light southeast to east winds are expected to blow over the northern Gulf of Mexico today through Sunday, resulting in potential oiling of Louisiana shorelines from the mouth of the Mississippi River westward 150 miles, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA. Clouds over the Gulf of Mexico have cleared, and we should get a good view late this afternoon on how far south the oil spill has penetrated into the Loop Current. Statements from NOAA and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite data imply that most of the oil that was pulled southwards to the northern boundary of the Loop Current is now caught in a counter-clockwise rotating eddy just to the north of the Loop Current. Some oil has escaped this eddy and is on its way south towards the Florida Keys. This tongue of oil consists of "numerous light sheens with some emulsified patties and streams," according to NOAA. 

It's all political now
David Goldman, Asia Times
This symbiosis means that the banking system is in effective government control. As my friend Michael Ledeen- an expert on Italian fascism among many other fields- this is "control without ownership," or fascism, rather than socialism. Governments and banks will wrangle over the spoils. When the banks look fat the government will use them as a political whipping boy or milk them for taxes; when the banks' holdings of government securities threaten to topple them, as in Europe last week, the governments will pledge a trillion dollars- and borrow it from the banks.

Angry Tea Partiers are not the Moral Equivalent of Compassionate Democrats
Juan Cole, Informed Comment
Just to enter an objection to the increasing tendency of the mainstream media to equate the Tea Party on the American right wing with supposedly "angry" activists on the left wing of the Democratic Party..When is the last time you saw leftwing Democrats taunting disabled people, or weeping, or shouting that "their" country had been stolen by "those people"? What did the Democratic left want? Universal health care with a public option. That is angry? Isn't it just common decency?

America's Underclass: The Growing Gap Between the Rich and Poor
Peter Gorenstein, Yahoo! Finance
Macro economic data suggest the great recession is over. But the gap between the haves and the have-nots is growing, thanks, in large part, to a jobless recovery..Damien Hoffman says the growing underclass now accounts for about 10% of the U.S. population. In this clip, he and his brother Derek, who jointly run the Wall Street Cheat Sheet website, point to several signs America is turning into a two-class society..

The Relentless Pursuit of Extreme Energy
Michael T. Klare, Tom Dispatch
While poor oversight and faulty equipment may have played a critical role in BP's catastrophe in the Gulf, the ultimate source of the disaster is big oil's compulsive drive to compensate for the decline in its conventional oil reserves by seeking supplies in inherently hazardous areas -- risks be damned. So long as this compulsion prevails, more such disasters will follow.  Bet on it.

A Middle East Peace That Could Happen (But Won't)
Noam Chomsky, Tom Dispatch
For many of the world's conflicts, it is difficult even to conjure up a feasible settlement.  In this case, it is not only possible, but there is near universal agreement on its basic contours..The basic principles have been accepted by virtually the entire world, including the Arab states (who go on to call for full normalization of relations), the Organization of Islamic States (including Iran), and relevant non-state actors (including Hamas).

Free speech and hate in Sweden
Andrew Brown, The Guardian
It's hard to tell who was being more provocative here. Vilks was clearly out to offend, and the protestors were out to be offended and furiously outraged. But it is remarkable how offensive a man may feel towards people who have put a price on his head. Over the weekend, unknown assailants attempted to burn his house down..

Sex and the City 2 in Abu Dhabi? Carrie, this is wrong
Nicholas McGeehan, The Guardian
..the picture gets a little less alluring when the holiday location is revealed as Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates. There has been remarkably little controversy over this choice of setting, despite the country's appalling record on women's rights and human rights in general.(..actually shot in Morocco after the producers were refused permission to film in the UAE.)

Jeremy Jackson talks about How We Wrecked the Ocean
Gail the Actuary, The Oil Drum
Jeremy Jackson is the Ritter Professor of Oceanography and Director of the Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. In this talk, Professor Jackson lays out the shocking state of the ocean today: overfished, overheated, polluted, with indicators that things will get much worse. The film is from TED Talks. The movie is 18 minutes long and offers subtitles as an option. I've also copied in the transcript below the fold.

How long will the coal last?
Kjell Aleklett, Energy Bulletin
Aleklett and Höök point out that their calculations of the world’s remaining reserves of fossil fuel mean that we must act very rapidly to convert to other sources of energy. And they do not reject any of the IPCC’s conclusions that the global warming that we now see is caused by human greenhouse gas emissions. They only assert that there is not enough fossil fuel left on Earth to attain the worst temperature increases that the IPCC predicts.

Palestinians Observe Nakbah or Catastrophe Day, raise Hopes of Unity
Juan Cole, Informed Comment (blog)
Thousands of Palestinians rallied in Gaza on Saturday to commemorate the Nakbah or national catastrophe of 1948, when European Jewish settlers brought into the Mandate of Palestine by imperial British policy expelled 700,000 Palestinians from what is now Israel and then sealed the border, confiscating all their property without compensation. These actions turned the bulk of the Palestinians into poverty-stricken camp dwellers and/or stateless persons living under the rule of others, and prevented the rise of an independent Palestinian state such as was envisaged by the League of Nations and the British government just a decade before.

Garlic, Chainsaws, and Victory Gardens
John Michael Greed, The Archdruid Report
At a time when the tertiary economy is undergoing the first stages of an uncontrolled and challenging simplification, if you can disconnect something you need from the tertiary economy, you’ve insulated a part of your life from at least some of the impacts of the chaotic resolution of the mismatch between limitless paper wealth and the limited real wealth available to our species on this very finite planet.

May 13 2010

The Gulf of Mexico oil spill: an accident waiting to happen
John McQuaid, Yale Environment 360
The oil slick spreading across the Gulf of Mexico has shattered the notion that offshore drilling had become safe. A close look at the accident shows that lax federal oversight, complacency by BP and the other companies involved, and the complexities of drilling a mile deep all combined to create the perfect environmental storm.

Spill, Baby, Spill
Joe Pishgar for Florida House District 31
Like many of you, I have been watching as the news unfolds about the massive oil spill in the Gulf. Every day seems to bring more dismal tidings about the incident and increasing comparisons to the size of it. First it was the size of New Orleans, and then it became as big as the state of Rhode Island..According to BP, the company that owns the rig, it will take 2 to 3 months to stop the flow of oil due to the failure of the blow out preventer. At a rate of 210,000 gallons of oil per day, that clocks in at just under 14.5 million gallons total before it is fixed. Many recall the devastation after the Exxon Valdez spill in Alaska. By comparison, the Exxon Valdez spilled 10.8 million gallons and scientists estimate that it will take 30 years for the environment there to return to recover. http://e360.yale.edu/content/feature.msp?id=2133

Twenty Years Later, Impacts of the Exxon Valdez Linger
Doug Struck, Yale 360 Environment
Today, 20 years after the largest spill in U.S. waters, the oil that gushed from the hull of the Exxon Valdez is still having effects. Sea otters once again play in the waters of Alaska’s Prince William Sound, and salmon and some other species have rebounded. But killer whale populations have not recovered, and the huge schools of whirling herring that fed both fishermen and animals have not returned, reminding scientists that nature’s responses are complex and unpredictable.

Amy Tidd Supports Proposed Constitutional Amendment that Protects Florida's Coastline
Amy Tidd for State Representative, District 30
Amy Tidd..today urged Representative Ritch Workman to join CFO Alex Sink, State Senator Dan Gelber (D-Miami Beach), and State Representatives..who on Friday May 7th called on Governor Charlie Crist to reconvene the legislature for a special session to consider a constitutional amendment that would ban drilling off of Florida's beaches. "Workman must change his position on near shore drilling in order to protect Florida's beaches.  He reportedly had a  'Drill, Baby, Drill' poster outside his office in Tallahasee during this years session. I believe it  needs to be changed to a 'Think, Baby, Think' poster along with a call for a special Session"

And Chicks for Free?
James Kunstler, kunstler.com
Once upon a time, the stock market was a  place where people with capital went to look for productive activity to invest in -- say, a company devoted to making soap flakes, an underpants factory. Now the market is a robot combat arena where algorithms battle for supremacy of the feedback loops.  Thursday's still-baffling fifteen-minute "crash" was an excellent demonstration..People too-clever-by-half, aided greatly by computers, have now gamed the investment indexes so successfully that these markets no longer have anything to do with investment..

Politically impossible?
Kurt Cobb, Resource Insights
Circumstances, strategy, personalities, evolving political alignments and myriad other variables change what is politically possible and impossible from week to week, from month to month and from year to year. But, after being stuck in first gear for a long time, history seems to be on the move. The oil price spike, the financial crisis, a dramatic election that put the first African-American into the Oval Office--something that was previously deemed "politically impossible"--all seem to have shaken even the entrenched U. S. political establishment out of its torpor and made, in some cases, the unthinkable, thinkable and the politically impossible, possible. If my young student is any indication, there is more to come.

Economics for the Story of Stuff
Rob Dietz, The Daly News
The Story of Stuff takes a look at the economy’s linear system that runs from extraction to production to distribution to consumption to disposal. As Annie says, "..you cannot run a linear system on a finite planet indefinitely." You especially can’t grow the size of that linear system indefinitely..What a dilemma! The planet can’t sustain our pattern of consumption, but people get steamrolled in the economy when consumption slows down.

April 22 2010

Where's RICO?
James Howard Kunstler, Kunstler.com (blog)

April 9 2010

The Iraq war: still a massive mistake
Malou Innocent, Christian Science Monitor

April 1 2010

Abortion, Morality and the Liberation of Women with Dr. Susan Wicklund
Salsa Democracy in Action
The film Abortion, Morality and the Liberation of Women is being seen by people via YouTube and through organized showings, including at the University of North Carolina, Greensboro last month. This is exactly the kind of conversation we're trying to spark with this film..

Obama Transportation Secretary: ‘This Is the End of Favoring Motorized Transportation at the Expense of Non-Motorized’
Terence P. Jeffrey, CBS News
"Today, I want to announce a sea change," LaHood wrote. "People across America who value bicycling should have a voice when it comes to transportation planning. This is the end of favoring motorized transportation at the expense of non-motorized..The establishment of well-connected walking and bicycling networks is an important component for livable communities, and their design should be a part of Federal-aid project developments."

Foreclosure Experts Forecast Explosive Numbers in Homelessness
PR Newswire
Foreclosure experts at USHUD.com and Heavy Hammer Inc. today warned of skyrocketing homelessness as high unemployment and foreclosure rates continue to impede economic recovery. Citing a combination of record rental vacancies and residential foreclosure rates, Heavy Hammer Inc. CEO Michael Urbanski said true numbers of displaced Americans are masked by "assimilated homelessness," a term describing those who have lost homes or can no longer afford rent and have sought refuge with friends and family members.

Quacks like a duck...
by Richard Heinberg, Energy Bulletin
Is this just a way to announce Peak Oil without acknowledging it? The idea of the "undulating plateau" has been part of the Peak Oil discussion for years (see my book Powerdown), and world oil production has in fact been at a plateau since late 2004. Second, how is it that readers in France now know more about U.S. Department of Energy oil supply forecasts than Americans do? There has been no equivalent article in the mainstream press in North America. It's time for the DoE to answer some tough questions. Too bad U.S. media outlets are evidently too timid, busy, or uninformed to bother themselves with the trivial business of alerting the American people to an impending calamity that is entirely foreseeable and that a few people in government are evidently willing to speak about (at least in code), if only someone asks.

Exposing the dirty money behind fake climate science
Greenpeace News
Billionaire tycoon David Koch likes to joke that Koch Industries is, "The biggest company you've never heard of". But the nearly US$50 million that he and his brother Charles quietly funneled to front groups which deny that climate change is a problem is no joking matter. Our new report shows how that cash, between 1997 and 2008, went to groups working to prevent action being taken against climate change..To put their financial commitment into context, from 2005-2008 the Koch brothers pumped in double the amount that even Exxon spent on undermining climate action over the same period.

Riddles in the Dark
John Michael Greer, Energy Bulletin
One aspect of the predicament of industrial society too rarely grasped is the impact of the end of the age of cheap abundant energy on labor costs, wages, and standards of living. In a world where everything is scarce but people, many of the most deeply rooted economic assumptions bid fair to be stood on their heads, with results few of us are prepared to face

Regulated or Not, Nano-Foods Coming to a Store Near You
Andrew Schneider, AOL News
Officially, the FDA says there aren't any nano-containing food products currently sold in the U.S. Not true, say some of the agency's own safety experts, pointing to scientific studies published in food science journals, reports from foreign safety agencies and discussions in gatherings like the Institute of Food Technologists conference. In fact, the arrival of nanomaterial onto the food scene is already causing some big-chain safety managers to demand greater scrutiny of what they're being offered, especially with imported food and beverages.

Our Turn
James Kunstler, kunstler.com
Whatever his flaws, omissions, and failures, I'm impressed with President Obama's ability to conduct himself like an adult, like a good father, in the face of the most unseemly provocations by his red-faced adversaries..As economic conditions worsen -- I believe they will -- I hope Mr. Obama can discipline these maniacs.